Thursday, October 24, 2013

Time Horizons: Climate Edition

Climate change is, as far as FLG is concerned, the only outlier in his time horizons theory, which is why he found this article fascinating.


Withywindle said...

Here is how I think, and I imagine it possible I am not along: 1) it it takes that long for a benefit/disaster to kick in, maybe it's not a problem after all; 2) maybe before then some better and cheaper solution will slow up, so why spend the money now?; 3) what other problems in the universe might show up that I need to prepare for?; 4) in the long run, enough Urgent, Long-Term problems have turned out to be not so important after all, so maybe going bananas about fatal climate change in 2100 doesn't make sense.

The article doesn't really consider any of these possibiltiies; they all seem like common sense to me, and I suspect to a fair number of other people too; so going on about how people are short-sighted, blah blah blah, assumes some points at issue.

FLG said...

I have to say that I am skeptical of a lot of these lab experiments about how people make decisions. They may offer some insight into how people view real-life decisions, but only some.

As far as me caring about future generations, however, my starting point is that it's better for us to take decisions that allow them to be richer so that they have more resources to deal with whatever problems may arise.

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