Sunday, October 25, 2009

The Dollar And China

Telegraph:
The dollar will still be the world’s dominant reserve currency in 2030, sharing a degree of leadership in uneasy condominium with the Chinese yuan. It will then regain much of its hegemonic status as the 21st century unfolds. It may indeed end the century even stronger than it was at the start.

The aging crisis in Asia — and indeed the outright demographic implosion in Japan and China, not to mention China’s water crisis — will soon be obvious to everybody. Talk of Oriental supremacy will start to sound overblown at first, and then preposterous.


I don't know if this will hold true, but at least it's not somebody repeating tropes about Chinese growth based on linear projections. China is going to get old before it gets rich.

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